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The risk of recession is quite low, says Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius


Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs chief economist and head of global investment research, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the latest economic data, the likelihood of a recession, and more.

It’s Here: The Reverse Housing Crash Of 2024


Get a 60-day free trial at 🤍 Thanks to ShipStation for sponsoring the show! Let's talk about the 2024 Housing Market Recession and what this means for all buyers, sellers, or investors - enjoy! Add me on Instagram: GPStephan PROMOTIONAL OFFER: Get Up To 12 FREE STOCKS when you sign up and make a deposit using my paid affiliate link for WeBull: 🤍 GET MY WEEKLY EMAIL MARKET RECAP NEWSLETTER: 🤍 LEARN MORE ABOUT MY FAVORITE CREDIT CARDS: 🤍 The YouTube Creator Academy: Learn EXACTLY how to get your first 1000 subscribers on YouTube, rank videos on the front page of searches, grow your following, and turn that into another income source: 🤍 - $100 OFF WITH CODE 100OFF THE 2024 HOUSING MARKET: Wells Fargo was the first to warn that the “housing market is headed back to a 1980s-style recession." However, even though Wells Fargo believes that the housing market could enter a “Recession” - that doesn’t mean lower prices - in fact, to them, it means the opposite. They say, because fewer sellers are listing their homes, “home prices will continue to appreciate at a slightly slower pace because of underlying demand and tight supply, rising 1.8% by the end of this year, as tracked by Case-Shiller, and 2.5% in 2024. In 2025, Wells Fargo forecasts home prices will rise 4.4%.” On the other hand, Morgan Stanley believes that housing will start to get more affordable throughout 2024, saying: “We expect home sales to be weak in the first half of next year, but activity should pick up in the second half and further into 2025, and that's primarily because affordability will improve.” They also expect that the Federal Reserve will start lowering interest rates in mid-2024, which - will prompt more sellers to list, and more buyers to obtain a slightly more affordable mortgage. They anticipate rates to be as low as 0.4% by late 2025 - meaning, according to them - we’ll be back near a 0% interest rate policy in just 2 more years. The chief economist of also agrees with the fact that affordability will only improve from here, noting that ‘Fannie Mae, the Mortgage Bankers Association and the National Association of Realtors all predict that the 30-year mortgage rate will fall to below 7% in the second half of 2024.’ However, the downside is that - regardless of who you ask - nearly everyone unanimously believes that housing prices are unlikely to see much of a decline in the near future, at least until home sellers outnumber home buyers - which, right now - isn’t anywhere close to happening. According to the CEO of Redfin, the ”only good thing right now about the US housing market is that it can't get much worse from here” in terms of low inventory, high mortgage rates, and low sales - but only time will tell if these aspects improve. At this point, it’s said that - in order for affordability to fall back to “normal” levels - one of three things needs to happen: “Either the 30-year mortgage rate needs to fall by 4.4 percentage points, the median household income needs to rise by 62%, or home prices need to fall by 38%.” Although, keep in mind that t’s reported, of the homes sold in October, “28% went above the listing price, which suggests there was still a bidding war among would-be buyers.” Personally, I tend to think that most of these real estate predictions are totally random guesses (and, inevitably, a few of them will be right) but, if you were to ask me to give a guess, I’d say rates hang higher than people expect for the next year, I’m guessing they’re not going to go down as much as people think and over the next few years, the housing market will slowly begin to normalize, but - it could take a long time. My ENTIRE Camera and Recording Equipment: 🤍 For business inquiries, you can reach me at grahamstephanbusiness🤍 *Some of the links and other products that appear on this video are from companies which Graham Stephan will earn an affiliate commission or referral bonus. Graham Stephan is part of an affiliate network and receives compensation for sending traffic to partner sites. The content in this video is accurate as of the posting date. Some of the offers mentioned may no longer be available. This is not investment advice.

Australia is in a per person recession as living standards plummet |The Business | ABC News


Australian living standards are falling - and if it wasn't for population growth, Australia would be in a recession. The national accounts show the economy barely grew over the three months to September 30, with economic output going backwards by half a per cent per person. Higher interest rates, soaring tax bills and inflationary pressures continue to hit incomes. The amount households are saving is now close to a 16-year low. Subscribe: 🤍 Economists say there might be another rate hike in February, depending on whether inflation data for the December quarter comes in higher than expected. But they say as more evidence emerges that the economy has slowed because of higher mortgage repayments, Australians can expect the Reserve Bank to cut interest rates after June, possibly more than once. Read more here: 🤍 ABC News provides around the clock coverage of news events as they break in Australia and abroad, including the latest coronavirus pandemic updates. It's news when you want it, from Australia's most trusted news organisation. For more from ABC News, click here: 🤍 Watch more ABC News content ad-free on ABC iview: 🤍 Go deeper on our ABC News In-depth channel: 🤍 Like ABC News on Facebook: 🤍 Follow ABC News on Instagram: 🤍 Follow ABC News on Twitter: 🤍 Note: In most cases, our captions are auto-generated. #ABCNews #ABCNewsAustralia

How to hide a recession | The Business | ABC News


2023 has been a year of interest rate hikes, rising house prices and unemployment at near 50-year lows. There's been a change of the guard at the Reserve Bank, which has declared inflation public enemy number one. Subscribe: 🤍 The challenge for the new RBA governor Michele Bullock is not to tip the country into recession. The global outlook is uncertain with wars in the Middle East and Europe, but there have been some positive developments at home. Rachel Pupazzoni looks back at the year that was. Read more here: 🤍 ABC News provides around the clock coverage of news events as they break in Australia and abroad, including the latest coronavirus pandemic updates. It's news when you want it, from Australia's most trusted news organisation. For more from ABC News, click here: 🤍 Watch more ABC News content ad-free on ABC iview: 🤍 Go deeper on our ABC News In-depth channel: 🤍 Like ABC News on Facebook: 🤍 Follow ABC News on Instagram: 🤍 Follow ABC News on Twitter: 🤍 Note: In most cases, our captions are auto-generated. #ABCNews #ABCNewsAustralia

Mapping EVERY Recession in History - Recessions Explained


Try ChartMogul ► 🤍 - If you liked this video, check this one out: The Dot Com Bubble ► 🤍 – We don't just make videos. Slidebean helps founders scale their startups: The Slidebean Platform ►🤍 #slidebean #startups #recessions #economics - If you liked this video, check these out also: The 2008 Housing Bubble ► 🤍 The HIDDEN Cause of ALL Recessions ► 🤍 – Let's dig into the whole up-and-down rollercoaster of economic recessions in human history. It's like each downturn is trying to outdo the previous one... and surprise, another crisis pops up, no matter how much we try to brace ourselves against economic chaos. So, what's the deal with this never-ending cycle, and what lessons can we really take away from these recurring economic challenges? 🎢💸 – What is 'Slidebean'? We built a platform to help founders scale their startups, from making your pitch deck to setting up your company and managing your investor relationships. Our fundraising platform for startups ► 🤍 – Follow us Twitter aka X: 🤍 LinkedIn: 🤍 Instagram: 🤍 Caya Twitter aka X: 🤍 LinkedIn: 🤍 – Sources: 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍 🤍

What causes an economic recession? - Richard Coffin


How can factors like inflation, supply and demand, and interest rates trigger recessions? Learn the economic basics of modern markets. For millennia, the people of Britain had been using bronze to make tools and jewelry, and as a currency for trade. But around 800 BCE, that began to change: the value of bronze declined, causing social upheaval and an economic crisis— what we would call a recession today. So what causes recessions? Richard Coffin digs into the economic fluctuations that affect our modern markets. Lesson by Richard Coffin, directed by Augenblick Studios. Animator's website: 🤍 Educator's channel: 🤍 Sign up for our newsletter: 🤍 Support us on Patreon: 🤍 Follow us on Facebook: 🤍 Find us on Twitter: 🤍 Peep us on Instagram: 🤍 View full lesson: 🤍 Thank you so much to our patrons for your support! Without you this video would not be possible! Felipe Hoff, Rebecca Reineke, Cyrus Garay, Victoria Veretilo, Michael Aquilina, William Biersdorf, Patricia Alves Panagides, Valeria Sloan Vasquez, Mike Azarkman, Yvette Mocete, Pavel Maksimov, Victoria Soler-Roig, Betsy Feathers, Samuel Barbas, Therapist Gus, Sai Krishna Koyoda, Elizabeth Parker, William Bravante, Irindany Sandoval, Mark wisdom, Brighteagle, Beatriz Inácio, Mighterbump, Pamela Harrison, Maija Chapman, Liana Switzer, Curtis Light, The Brock, Dianne Palomar, Edgar Campos Barrachina, Maria Lerchbaumer, Ever Granada, Marin Kovachev, Ravi S. Rāmphal, Penelope Misquitta, Tekin Gültekin, Jhuval, Hans Peng, Gaurav Mathur, Erik Biemans, Tony, Michelle, Katie and Josh Pedretti, Vaibhav Mirjolkar, Thomas Bahrman, Allan Hayes, Aidan Forero, Uday Kishore, Mikhail Shkirev, Devesh Kumar, Sunny Patel and Anuj Tomar.

U.S. likely to fall into a recession next year: Al Dhabi Capital


Rashmi Garg, senior portfolio manager at Al Dhabi Capital, joins from the sidelines of the Sohn Conference in London to discuss the market outlook for 2024, the possibility of a recession, and where she foresees strong positions in the stock market.

The Recession Has Finally Begun, But Only For America's Rich


Sticky inflation, white-collar layoffs, and surging interest rates are all putting pressure on a certain type of American — higher-income earners. 'What we normally see in an economic recession is that lower- and moderate-income households really bear the brunt of it in terms of job losses and financial hardships," said Greg McBride, senior financial analyst at "We haven't seen that." The stock market, a source of wealth for the rich, struggled in 2022. The S&P 500 sank more than 19%. The same year, 1.8 million Americans lost their millionaire status, according to UBS' 2023 Global Wealth Survey. Despite the stock market's summer rally in 2023, the U.S. economy faces several headwinds. Bank of America's Consumer Checkpoint Survey for September 2023 found that high-income households have become more pessimistic about the economy. The same group also appears more cautious about spending because of soft wage growth and job creation for high earners. Watch the video above to find out more about how the so-called "richcession" could affect the entire economy. Chapters: 0:00 — Introduction 01:30 — How did the 'richcession' happen? 02:56 — The wealth effect 05:26 — How is the luxury consumer holding up? 07:00 — The return of the millionaires? Produced by: DeLon Thornton Edited by: Evan Miller Additional Camera: Kate Sammer, Sean Conlon, Brad Howard Supervising Producer: Jeff Morganteen » Subscribe to CNBC: 🤍 » Subscribe to CNBC TV: 🤍 About CNBC: From 'Wall Street' to 'Main Street' to award winning original documentaries and Reality TV series, CNBC has you covered. Experience special sneak peeks of your favorite shows, exclusive video and more. Connect with CNBC News Online Get the latest news: 🤍 Follow CNBC on LinkedIn: 🤍 Follow CNBC News on Facebook: 🤍 Follow CNBC News on Twitter: 🤍 Follow CNBC News on Instagram: 🤍 #CNBC The Recession Has Finally Begun, But Only For America's Rich

Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser Warns That 'A Recession Is Possible' To Senate Banking Committee


At today's Senate Banking Committee hearing, Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser warned that a recession is possible. Fuel your success with Forbes. Gain unlimited access to premium journalism, including breaking news, groundbreaking in-depth reported stories, daily digests and more. Plus, members get a front-row seat at members-only events with leading thinkers and doers, access to premium video that can help you get ahead, an ad-light experience, early access to select products including NFT drops and more: 🤍 Stay Connected Forbes on Facebook: 🤍 Forbes Video on Twitter: 🤍 Forbes Video on Instagram: 🤍 More From Forbes: 🤍

We're seeing some of the early indicators of a recession, says Citi's Andrew Hollenhorst


Constance Hunter, MacroPolicy Perspectives senior advisor, and Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi chief U.S. economist, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest reading from University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index, inflation worries, latest market trends, the Fed's rate hike campaign, and more.

Recession isn't off the table but Fed's rhetoric change is a positive sign: Ned Davis' Ed Clissold


Peter Cecchini, Axonic director of research and Ed Clissold, Ned Davis Research chief U.S. strategist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action and their 2024 outlook.

Is A Recession Coming In 2024? | Money Mind | Finance


Should you be bracing for an impending slowdown in 2024? For more of Money Mind: 🤍 #CNA #MoneyMindCNA #recession #outlook #finance For more, SUBSCRIBE to CNA INSIDER 🤍 Follow CNA INSIDER on: Instagram: 🤍 Facebook: 🤍 Website: 🤍

Where is the Recession? Why We know its Coming!


Where is the Recession? Why We know its coming 0:00 Inverted Yield Curve 4:06 YoY Change in LEI 4:35 The Fed and Rates 6:22 Car Loans 7:00 Credit card debt 8:48 Opportunity in recessions #recession #everythingmoney 👀 Watch our Stock Market for Beginners Series. This series is your complete guide to getting started investing in the stock market correctly so you can avoid 99% of investor mistakes. We will teach you the basics of investing, setting up your brokerage account, and buying your 1st stock. 📈Watch Here: 🤍 🚨FREE ALL ACCESS FOR & DAYS TO EM COMMUNITY & SOFTWARE TOOLS ➡ 🤍 👕SECURE THE BAG (maybe even an AUTOGRAPHED one)! Buy Everything Money merchandise here: 🤍 _ ⚠️ By watching videos posted on Everything Money’s YouTube channel and/or using, you acknowledge that you have read, understand, and agree to the following: Everything Money is Not an Investment Advisor: Everything Money (including Paul, Mo, and Any other person including, but not limited to, other staff members, guests, personalities, etc.) is not an investment adviser, and it is not registered as such with the U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission or any other state or federal authority under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 or any other law. The investments and strategies discussed in Everything Money’s YouTube videos and on are not and should not be considered investment advice and may not be suitable for you. They do not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation, needs, or personal circumstances and are not intended to be specific to you. Before acting on any investment or strategy discussed, you should always do your own research and make your own independent decision about whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances. You should also consider seeking advice from your own legal, financial, tax, accounting, or investment advisers. Everything Money does not provide such advice. READ THE FULL DISCLAIMER HERE: 🤍

Without a recession, high price inflation will be with us for life, says Sen. John Kennedy


Senator John Kennedy(R-LA.) joins 'The Exchange' to discuss persistent price inflation, the strength of the labor market, and Congressional efforts to send military aid to Ukraine and Israel. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO: 🤍  » Subscribe to CNBC TV: 🤍 » Subscribe to CNBC: 🤍 Turn to CNBC TV for the latest stock market news and analysis. From market futures to live price updates CNBC is the leader in business news worldwide. Connect with CNBC News Online Get the latest news: 🤍 Follow CNBC on LinkedIn: 🤍 Follow CNBC News on Facebook: 🤍 Follow CNBC News on Twitter: 🤍 Follow CNBC News on Instagram: 🤍 🤍  #CNBC #CNBCTV 

Where’s the Recession? The Four Economic Factors Keeping It Off | WSJ


Where’s the recession we were promised? In the summer of 2022, The Wall Street Journal surveyed economists from around the country and more than 60% said they predicted a recession within the next year. It wasn’t a wild assumption — the indicators were indicating. GDP was down as the Federal Reserve began to raise interest rates to fight inflation. Which, historically, usually brings a recession. Yet now in the summer of 2023… where is it? WSJ looks at the four main economic factors that have so far kept the recession at bay. Though that doesn’t mean we’re in the clear. 0:00 Why a recession was predicted 1:07 The usual three suspects were strong 2:50 A “mortgage winter” buffered rising interest rates 3:50 Why the recession watch isn’t over News Explainers Some days the high-speed news cycle can bring more questions than answers. WSJ’s news explainers break down the day's biggest stories into bite-size pieces to help you make sense of the news. #Recession #Economy #WSJ

The economy is closer to a recession than markets think, says New York Life Investment's Goodwin


Lauren Goodwin, New York Life Investments economist, joins 'Closing Bell' 'Closing Bell' to discuss the current market rally and her market outlook. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO: 🤍  » Subscribe to CNBC TV: 🤍 » Subscribe to CNBC: 🤍 Turn to CNBC TV for the latest stock market news and analysis. From market futures to live price updates CNBC is the leader in business news worldwide. Connect with CNBC News Online Get the latest news: 🤍 Follow CNBC on LinkedIn: 🤍 Follow CNBC News on Facebook: 🤍 Follow CNBC News on Twitter: 🤍 Follow CNBC News on Instagram: 🤍 🤍  #CNBC #CNBCTV 

2024 Market Predictions: A Recession is about to hit HARD (Wall Street Bought HEAVY Protection)


Thank you to our sponsor Moomoo for helping my viewers with generous offers during this period of time: Earn 5.1% APY on your cash and get 15 free stocks with moomoo: 🤍 The U.S. Consumer is now past point of no return with credit card balances ballooning past $1 trillion dollars while BOTH the personal savings rate fall and the unemployment rate rise. Wall Street has bought heavy protection. And it isn't with retail strategies like SPY Puts or Inverse ETFs. Please subscribe, turn on the notification bell 🔔, and share this video with your network. -Key Resources 1.) ✍️ My Wealth Building Community (Investing/Trading/Wealth) on Substack (Over 20,000+ Public Readers. Join my List!): 🤍 2.) Twitter ( 🤍LarryCheungCFA ) 🤍 3.) Instagram (Come follow me 🤍LarryCheungCFA ): 🤍 4.) Best Deals with Holiday Shopping (Sign up for Rakuten and get a $30 sign-up bonus): 🤍 5.) My Preferred Brokerage (on Interactive Brokers which now pays 4.8%+ on all Idle Cash - a Must-have for Investors & Traders): 🤍 Personal Growth Video that I think you will enjoy: 🤍 Linkedin (Come follow me): 🤍 Patreon (Exact same as Substack Investment Community): 🤍 - Thank you to my data partner YCharts: 🤍 *Social Media Reminder: Do not fall for scammers & impersonators who pretend to be me.

We believe there is a recession coming, says Guggenheim's Alan Schwartz


Alan Schwartz, Guggenheim Partners executive chairman, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest macro outlook, M&A expectations, latest market trends, state of the U.S. economy, and more. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO: 🤍  » Subscribe to CNBC TV: 🤍 » Subscribe to CNBC: 🤍 Turn to CNBC TV for the latest stock market news and analysis. From market futures to live price updates CNBC is the leader in business news worldwide. Connect with CNBC News Online Get the latest news: 🤍 Follow CNBC on LinkedIn: 🤍 Follow CNBC News on Facebook: 🤍 Follow CNBC News on Twitter: 🤍 Follow CNBC News on Instagram: 🤍 🤍  #CNBC #CNBCTV 

The recession has already begun: David Rosenberg


David Rosenberg, founder & president of Rosenberg Research and Ed Devlin, founder of Devlin Capital, senior fellow at C.D. Howe Institute and former head of Canadian portfolio management at PIMCO, join BNN Bloomberg to discuss their economic outlook. They say that even as many believe a soft landing is still accomplishable there are some metrics suggesting the economy is already in a recession. Subscribe to BNN Bloomberg to watch more videos: 🤍 Connect with BNN Bloomberg: For the latest news visit: 🤍 For a full video offering visit BNN Bloomberg: 🤍 BNN Bloomberg on Facebook: 🤍 BNN Bloomberg on Twitter: 🤍 BNN Bloomberg on Instagram: 🤍 BNN Bloomberg on LinkedIn: 🤍 BNN Bloomberg is Canada’s only TV service devoted exclusively to business, finance and the markets.

Here's why Citi's Nathan Sheets is holding on to a recession call


Nathan Sheets, Citi Global chief economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his thoughts on the current economic standing in the U.S., how markets will react to lower corporate profits next year, and what's changed in the economist's soft landing forecast.

Signs of a recession may be on the horizon, says fmr. Fed economist Claudia Sahm


Claudia Sahm, former Federal Reserve economist, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the state of the economy, the outlook for inflation, and more.

The 2024 Recession: 100% Likelihood of USA Recession


Get free life insurance quotes from America's top insurers and start saving today with Policygenius: 🤍 Thanks to Policygenius for sponsoring this video! JOIN MY SCHOOL HERE: 👉 🤍 Use code "UHOH20" to get 20% OFF FOREVER! In today's video, we're diving deep into a recent Deutsche Bank study that says a recession is coming to the USA 100%, based on four recession indicators. Predicting a recession is no walk in the park, given the many variables at play—think geopolitics, like the Ukraine conflict or global pandemics. But according to Deutsche Bank, they're sounding the alarm bells, claiming the likelihood of a U.S. recession is at a whopping 100%. They're warning of an imminent boom-and-bust cycle that we can't avoid. To back up their claims, Deutsche Bank's Jim Reed, the head of global economics and thematic research, analyzed 34 recessions dating back to 1854. They've pinpointed four key macroeconomic triggers that have historically caused recessions. Now, let's dig into these triggers, and you'll see the hit ratios as we go. First up, we have rapidly rising interest rates. Over the past 18 months, we've witnessed a significant hike in interest rates, going from near-zero levels in March 2022 to a staggering 5.5% by September 2023. Historically, when short-term interest rates have risen by 2.5% over 24 months, there's been a recession within three years—about 69% of the time. The chart resembles an elevator ride, and this steep climb is concerning. Next on the list is rising inflation, which currently stands at 3.7% year-over-year as of August 2023, up from 3.2% the previous month. Deutsche Bank finds that a 3% inflation rise over two years triggers a recession in roughly 77% of cases. The third indicator is the infamous inverted yield curve. It's when short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates for loans of the same risk profile. This anomaly has a strong correlation with recessions, with 74% of cases signaling a downturn. We've been in an inverted yield curve since mid-2022, as seen in the Fred chart, and it's something to keep a close eye on. Last but not least, soaring oil prices have jumped around 30% since June, reaching over $94 a barrel. However, this indicator is less likely to predict a recession in the U.S., with a 45.9% correlation when oil prices spike 25% over a year. Now, let's not forget the geopolitical factors at play, such as the Israel-Hamas situation and tensions between Russia and Ukraine, which can add unpredictability to the mix. In conclusion, while these recession indicators are flashing red, it's essential to approach this information with a level head. Low unemployment is currently propping things up, but any changes there could trigger a recession. We're in uncertain territory, and it's crucial to stay informed and make well-informed decisions tailored to your unique circumstances. If you found this video valuable, please hit the like button, subscribe, and share it with a friend who might benefit from this information. Your support keeps this channel going. Thanks for tuning in, and remember, have a prosperous day! Master the 4 Pillars of Wealth by joining WhiteBoard Finance University Today! Use code "UHOH20" to get 20% OFF FOREVER! 👉 🤍 My FREE M1 Finance Training Video: ⮕ 🤍 My FREE Stock Market For Beginners Guide: ⮕ 🤍 GET MY HOME AFFORDABILITY SPREADSHEET HERE: ⮕ 🤍 ABOUT ME 👇 My mission is to provide my viewers with actionable content that enables them to create financial wealth. My videos reflect my real-world experience as a real estate investor, stock market investor, student of finance, and entrepreneur. This channel allows me to share my passion for personal finance, stock market investing, real estate investing, and entrepreneurship. I produce content that I would want to watch, and because of that, I give 100% effort to every video that I make. I also believe in complete transparency and open communication with my audience.

There's 'no chance' we avoid a recession, strategist says


U.S. GDP grew by 4.9% at an annual rate in the third quarter of the fiscal year, defying a multitude of expectations of a slowdown. Some believe that a recession is on the way, as economic headwinds continue to spook investors and Treasury bond yields spike. Canaccord Genuity Chief Market Strategist Tony Dwyer is one such person, claiming investors need to brace for that eventuality. He joins Yahoo Finance anchors Julie Hyman and Josh Lipton to give insight into what he believes to be an inevitability. Dwyer postulates that a recession will be necessary to finally get the Fed to make major changes: "Earlier this week, we made [a] new cycle high for bond yields. So, that to me is the real differentiator, is what gets the Fed to change their tone enough that you get those other instruments to have a significant rally that kickstarts and now improved outlook for money." For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Yahoo Finance Live. Subscribe to Yahoo Finance: 🤍 About Yahoo Finance: At Yahoo Finance, you get free stock quotes, up-to-date news, portfolio management resources, international market data, social interaction and mortgage rates that help you manage your financial life. Yahoo Finance Plus: With a subscription to Yahoo Finance Plus get the tools you need to invest with confidence. Discover new opportunities with expert research and investment ideas backed by technical and fundamental analysis. Optimize your trades with advanced portfolio insights, fundamental analysis, enhanced charting, and more. To learn more about Yahoo Finance Plus please visit: 🤍 Connect with Yahoo Finance: Get the latest news: 🤍 Find Yahoo Finance on Facebook: 🤍 Follow Yahoo Finance on Twitter: 🤍 Follow Yahoo Finance on Instagram: 🤍 Follow Yahoo Finance Premium on Twitter: 🤍

The 2024 Recession is About to Hit HARD


Open an account with Monetary Metals Today: 🤍 I teach active investors how to get higher returns with less risk by learning how markets actually work. Join Heresy Financial University today: 🤍 TIMECODES 0:00 Video Overview 0:26 Trouble Brewing with Banks 2:57 Household Debt 7:31 Problems the Government is Facing 10:32 Rescue the Economy or Fight Inflation Important Links: Heresy Financial University 🤍 My Book - Why We Need the Fed (blank gag book) 🤍 My Shirts: 🤍 Join Heresy Financial University 🤍 Affiliates & Partners: Monetary Metals 🤍 Miles Franklin (tell them I sent you) 🤍 Vaulted 🤍 OneGold 🤍 iTrustCapital 🤍l/heresy Swan Bitcoin 🤍 TradingView 🤍 GroundFloor 🤍 Fundrise 🤍 Socials 🤍HeresyFinancial Twitter: 🤍 Insta: 🤍 TikTok: 🤍 Reddit: 🤍 Rumble: 🤍 I am not a CPA, attorney, or licensed financial advisor and the information in these videos shall not be construed as tax, legal, or financial advice from a qualified perspective. Linked items may create a financial benefit for Heresy Financial.

Recession is coming on the horizon, says Apollo Global's Slok


Torsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his thoughts on the global economy, why the Federal Reserve believes policy may not be tight enough, and the Federal Reserve's tools to bring the economy out of recession should it begin.

Kudlow: This is a huge recession warning for 2024


FOX Business host Larry Kudlow discusses President Biden's handling of the economy and concerns of a recession on 'Hannity.' #foxnews #fox #hannity Subscribe to Fox News! 🤍 Watch more Fox News Video: 🤍 Watch Fox News Channel Live: 🤍 FOX News Channel (FNC) is a 24-hour all-encompassing news service delivering breaking news as well as political and business news. The number one network in cable, FNC has been the most-watched television news channel for 18 consecutive years. According to a 2020 Brand Keys Consumer Loyalty Engagement Index report, FOX News is the top brand in the country for morning and evening news coverage. A 2019 Suffolk University poll named FOX News as the most trusted source for television news or commentary, while a 2019 Brand Keys Emotion Engagement Analysis survey found that FOX News was the most trusted cable news brand. A 2017 Gallup/Knight Foundation survey also found that among Americans who could name an objective news source, FOX News was the top-cited outlet. Owned by FOX Corporation, FNC is available in nearly 90 million homes and dominates the cable news landscape, routinely notching the top ten programs in the genre. Watch full episodes of your favorite shows The Five: 🤍 Special Report with Bret Baier: 🤍 Jesse Watters Primetime: 🤍 Hannity: 🤍 The Ingraham Angle: 🤍 Gutfeld!: 🤍 Fox News 🤍 Night: 🤍 Follow Fox News on Facebook: 🤍 Follow Fox News on Twitter: 🤍 Follow Fox News on Instagram: 🤍

Average Australian is in a recession: Paul Murray


Sky News host Paul Murray says the average Australian is in a recession following multiple negative quarters of economic growth. “If you have negative growth for a quarter it worries people, if it happens for two it’s a recession,” he said. Mr Murray says Australia has experience three quarters of negative economic growth. “Which means the average Australian is in a recession. “But because we export a lot of stuff to the rest of the world we’re just staying in positive territory.”

Is a recession on the horizon?


'The Drift' author Kevin Hassett provides insight on the economy and oil prices on 'Kudlow.' Subscribe to Fox Business! 🤍 Watch more Fox Business Video: 🤍 Watch Fox Business Network Live: 🤍 FOX Business Network (FBN) is a financial news channel delivering real-time information across all platforms that impact both Main Street and Wall Street. Headquartered in New York — the business capital of the world — FBN launched in October 2007 and is one of the leading business networks on television, having topped CNBC in Business Day viewers for the second consecutive year in 2018. The network is available in nearly 80 million homes in all markets across the United States. Owned by FOX Corporation, FBN is a unit of FOX News Media and has bureaus in Chicago, Los Angeles, and Washington, D.C. Follow Fox Business on Facebook: 🤍 Follow Fox Business on Twitter: 🤍 Follow Fox Business on Instagram: 🤍

The Recession is Coming | Prof G Markets


This week on Prof G Markets, Scott explains why he thinks a recession is on the way (for real this time). For the full episode: 🤍 Vote now for Prof G Markets at the Signal Awards: 🤍 Subscribe to The Prof G Pod on Spotify 🤍 Got a question for Prof G? Get answers on TikTok: 🤍 Want more Prof G? Check out everything we're up to at 🤍 #business #news #tech #finance #stockmarket #profg #scottgalloway #profgmarkets #recession #business #money

The Most Obvious Recession Concern Is Now Getting Really Concerning


#recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #consumer #bankcrisis #oil #gasoline Even OPEC is having trouble dealing with the growing turmoil in the oil market. Weak demand is forcing the cartel to confront very difficult choices. The reason is because recent price weakness isn't really just about energy. A whole range of financial indications are pointing once more in that wrong if familiar direction. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Bloomberg: OPEC+ Meeting Delayed as Oil Production Talks Hit Turbulence 🤍 Twitter: 🤍 🤍sity RealClearMarkets Essays: 🤍

Former White House Economist Reveals Recession Warning Signs | Joseph LaVorgna


SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at 🤍 While recent discussions have echoed bullish sentiments, this conversation flips the narrative to explore the bearish side of the economic landscape. Joseph LaVorgna, Chief Economist at SMBC Nikko Securities and former Special Assistant to President Trump, joins Wealthion to unveil critical leading economic indicators pointing toward a looming recession. LaVorgna will also share why he predicts an imminent Fed rate cut, especially with the upcoming 2024 election, and why he believes there's a 75-80% chance of a hard economic landing. #economicinsights #recessionwarning #marketanalysis TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Recession prospects with former White House economist Joseph LaVorgna. 4:38 Fed's monetary policy and economic forecasting. 10:04 Economic models, data quality, and decision-making. 11:43 Economic downturn probability and equity market potential. 16:28 Potential recession in 2024 despite economic indicators. 20:27 Economic forecasting and recession predictions. 25:30 Economic analysis and market signals. 30:04 Economic policy and decision-making. 34:55 Investment strategies for various time horizons and risk tolerances. - At Wealthion, we show you how to protect and build your wealth by learning from the world’s top experts on finance and money. Each week we add new videos that provide you with access to the foremost specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate and personal finance. We offer exceptional interviews and explainer videos that dive deep into the trends driving today's markets, the economy, and your own net worth. We give you strategies for financial security, practical answers to questions like “how to grow my investments?”, and effective solutions for wealth building tailored to 'regular' investors just like you. There’s no doubt that it's a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead? Let us help you prepare your portfolio just in case the future brings one or more of the following: inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a stock market crash, a real estate bubble, a real estate crash, an economic boom, a recession, a depression, or another global financial crisis. Put the wisdom from the money & markets experts we feature on Wealthion into action by scheduling a free consultation with Wealthion’s endorsed financial advisors, who will work with you to determine the right next steps for you to take in building your wealth. SCHEDULE YOUR FREE WEALTH CONSULTATION with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors here: 🤍 Subscribe to our YouTube channel 🤍 Follow us on Twitter 🤍 Follow us on Facebook 🤍 IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields. While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as official investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor. We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so. The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust.

Forget Recession | The COMING Great DEPRESSION - The Alarm Bells.


BLACK FRIDAY ONLY SALE - #DEFLATIONCOUPON 🚨⚠️🚨 🤍 🚨⚠️🚨 Brand New Content Drops MONDAY, Course Livestreams, and BUILD YOUR WEALTH courses in Real Estate, Entrepreneurship, Stocks, and More NOW. Other Channels⚠️ Market Open Live: 🤍 ✝️ Podcast: 🤍 🚨 Meet Kevin Politics: 🤍 🏠 HouseHack: 🤍 ✅✅My Product & Service Links✅✅ 💎Noob vs Pro Crash Courses: 🤍💎 🏦Profit Portal (Course): 🤍 🟢ACTUAL Financial Advice with Kevin: 🤍 🚨My Startup: 🤍 📰My Daily Newsletter: 🤍 Favorite 3rd-Party Products (Affiliate / Paid Commissioned Links): 🎥360 Matterport Camera: 🤍 ✝️Life Insurance in as little as 5 Minutes: 🤍 📸🤍 ⚠️⚠️⚠️#investing #meetkevin #money ⚠️⚠️⚠️ ⚠️WARNING: Forget Recession | The COMING Great DEPRESSION - The Alarm Bells.⚠️ ✅Deflation is at $WMT ✅Nick T sees the deflation ✅Costco is preparing for Deflation ✅Meet Kevin's Black Friday sale the BIGGEST EVER; guaranteed ( w/ new 2023 content on wealth dropping Monday. ✅A contraction of the money supply lead to the 1929-1939 DEPRESSION ✅UNEMPLOYMENT rose to 24.9% in the Great Depression ✅Prices fell for 4 years at an average for -7% per YEAR ✅Levi's is cutting prices ✅Vans is cutting prices ✅Societe Generale WARNS of DEPRESSION, not RECESSION. ✅Will the Fed print?!?! Yes, deflation is coming. Prepare. Happy Black Friday. 📝Disclaimer: This video is not personalized financial advice for the viewer. Read the Offering Circular before investing in HouseHack.

BREAKING: The FED Pauses Rates, Housing Declines, Recession Cancelled


Get an exclusive 🤍Surfshark Black Friday deal! Enter promo code GRAHAM to get up to 6 additional months for free at 🤍 | Let's discuss the Federal Reserve Rate Hike and what this means for you - Add me on Instagram: GPStephan CHECK OUT THE MARKET SENTIMENT BLOG: 🤍 PROMOTIONAL OFFER: Get Up To 12 FREE STOCKS when you sign up and make a deposit using my paid affiliate link for WeBull: 🤍 GET MY WEEKLY EMAIL MARKET RECAP NEWSLETTER: 🤍 The YouTube Creator Academy: Learn EXACTLY how to get your first 1000 subscribers on YouTube, rank videos on the front page of searches, grow your following, and turn that into another income source: 🤍 - $100 OFF WITH CODE 100OFF THE NOVEMBER RATE HIKE: There is no rate hike for the month of November. Just few days ago, Jerome Powell stated that “Financial conditions have tightened significantly in recent months…we remain attentive to these developments because persistent changes in financial conditions can have implications for the path of monetary policy." The Federal Reserve has also admitted that “We know that we’re on an unsustainable path fiscally.” Jerome Powell continued to reiterate that they’re taking a “wait-and-see” approach to upcoming rate hikes and they’ll prepared to adjust as needed in the future. It’s also worth noting that there’s a “lag effect” to raising interest rates, where the full effect won’t be truly felt for 6-18 months after the final rate hike; the AVERAGE delay is 11 months. THE STOCK MARKET: Here in the United States, we typically have this belief that - over the long term - stocks go higher. It’s shown that a 20-year holding period has never ONCE lost money. Statistically, this has proven to be true going back all the way to 1872 - but, there is a hidden risk: Throughout most of the world, there have been a variety of instances where the stock market has LOST money over a 20-year period. According to MarketSentiment, since 1890 - once you add inflation to the mix - there’s a 1.2% chance of losing buying power over a 30-year horizon. However, this doesn’t account for the fact that we only have 130 years' worth of data to pick from, and the United States could be suffering from survivorship bias, where we only see the data because it’s worked. Once we zoom out into other global markets, according to this report, there is a 9% chance that a Japan-like event could happen here, in the United States, at some point in the future. THE HOUSING MARKET: As of last week, mortgage rates hit the 8% mark, which is a level that we haven’t seen since 2000. This means that monthly payments are now 70% HIGHER than they were just two years ago, when mortgage rates were 3%. This combination has NOW led to 99% of the United States being “unaffordable” for the Average American who makes $71,000 per year - and this price-to-income ratio is now the worst its been since 1984. In terms of where this could go in the next year, Zillow believes that home prices will see another 2.1% increase through September of 2024. In addition to that, Morgan Stanley revised their forecast and now believes that home prices could rise another 5% year-over-year given how many sellers are reluctant to let go of their existing mortgage. A managing director at Goldman Sachs also went on record to say that, “Absent any negative shocks to the broader economy that would either boost the excess supply of homes on the market or fuel an uptick in unemployment, we continue to expect home prices to rise at a slow pace,” with his estimate that we’ll see a 3.5% increase by the end of 2024. Because of that, I think it’s more important than ever to keep your expenses low, save as much as you can, ensure that you have the means to keep a steady income throughout the next 1-2 years - and no matter what...subscribe if you haven’t done that already ;) My ENTIRE Camera and Recording Equipment: 🤍 For business inquiries, you can reach me at grahamstephanbusiness🤍 *Some of the links and other products that appear on this video are from companies which Graham Stephan will earn an affiliate commission or referral bonus. Graham Stephan is part of an affiliate network and receives compensation for sending traffic to partner sites. The content in this video is accurate as of the posting date. Some of the offers mentioned may no longer be available. This is not investment advice.

It's Official: The Recession Just Started


#recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #income #fed #federalreserve The last thing standing in the way of full-blown recession in the US was the jobs market. Was. October payroll report confirms the recent renewed downturn after the disinflation rebound ended is exactly what we've feared all along. A break down of the data and market reaction. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Twitter: 🤍 🤍sity RealClearMarkets Essays: 🤍

Holy Sh*t! The Fed Just Admitted We Are In A Recession


#recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #income #fed #federalreserve Recent Federal Reserve report claims at least half the country is already in recession, while another substantial portion likely is. Not only does that match softening rhetoric from policymakers, obviously there's been a radical change in markets, too. Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van Metre Federal Reserve Beige Book November 29, 2023 🤍 ISM for November 2023 🤍 CNBC: Black Friday weekend shopping turnout soars to a record, as consumers seek bargains 🤍 Twitter: 🤍 🤍sity RealClearMarkets Essays: 🤍

Recession Risk in 2024


Let us talk about the recession risk factors to consider in 2024, where they sit today, and what to watch for in the coming months. Into The Cryptoverse Premium SALE: 🤍 Into The Cryptoverse Newsletter: 🤍 LIFETIME OPTION: 🤍 Alternative Option: 🤍 Merch: 🤍 Disclaimer: The information presented within this video is NOT financial advice. Telegram: 🤍 Twitter: 🤍 TikTok:🤍benjamincowencrypto Instagram: 🤍 Discord: 🤍 Facebook: 🤍 Reddit: 🤍 Website: 🤍

Is This Still a Major Recession Warning?


🔥 FREE access to our exclusive Trader Masterclass: 🤍 One of the most popular recession indicators in recent years has been the Sahm Rule. It's been able to signal a recession much earlier than other common indicators. At the moment it's very close to triggering a recession warning, but is this time different to before? Is this warning going to be the same as previous times? 💹 WANT TO LEARN HOW WE TRADE? 💹 Watch our FREE Trader Masterclass: 🤍 👇 FOLLOW US HERE 👇 Main trading channel: 🤍Duomoinitiative Trading for Beginners channel: 🤍trading_for_beginners Market Movers IG: 🤍 Nicholas Puri IG: 🤍 Duomo IG: 🤍 Twitter: 🤍 Blog: 🤍

Fed to Cut Interest Rates: Recession Update in The USA


For Exclusive Content on Stocks and Crypto, please visit our website: 🤍 Get up to 12 Free Stocks valued between $34 and $30,600 when you open and fund a new Stock Account: 🤍 Join this channel to support us by being a member: 🤍 The best way to support our channel is to share this video on your social media to spread awareness. We appreciate the support! This is our TurboTax Link for your tax preparation needs: 🤍 ClearValue Tax and affiliates and related parties do not provide tax, legal or accounting advice. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, tax, legal or accounting advice. You should consult your own tax, legal and accounting advisors before engaging in any transaction. This post may contain affiliate links that at no additional cost to you, I may earn a small commission. Thank you for your support! Legal Disclosure: I’m not a financial advisor. The information contained in this video is for entertainment purposes only. Before investing, please consult a licensed professional. Any stock purchases I show on video should not be considered “investment recommendations”. I shall not be held liable for any losses you may incur for investing and trading in the stock market in attempt to mirror what I do. Unless investments are FDIC insured, they may decline in value and/or disappear entirely. Please be careful!

Our base is U.S. will go into a recession by middle of 2024: Societe Generale's Subadra Rajappa


Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale head of U.S. rates strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss latest Treasury yield trajectory, the impact of higher rates on markets, where yields are headed, and more. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO: 🤍 » Subscribe to CNBC TV: 🤍 » Subscribe to CNBC: 🤍 Turn to CNBC TV for the latest stock market news and analysis. From market futures to live price updates CNBC is the leader in business news worldwide. Connect with CNBC News Online Get the latest news: 🤍 Follow CNBC on LinkedIn: 🤍 Follow CNBC News on Facebook: 🤍 Follow CNBC News on Twitter: 🤍 Follow CNBC News on Instagram: 🤍 🤍 #CNBC #CNBCTV

‘Stark’: US Federal Reserve warned of looming recession


The former Federal Reserve Bank of New York president William C. Dudley has warned the US could be heading toward a recession. “He’s saying, every single time the US unemployment rate is risen by more than half a per cent, we’ve seen the US go into recession,” The Motley Fool Chief Investment Officer Scott Phillips told Sky News Australia. “That’s a pretty stark one – now we should say the data is only 100 and something years old … but every time the unemployment rate has gone up that much, we have had trouble.” He pointed out the current unemployment rate has risen by two-tenths of a per cent but is expected to rise a full 1.1 per cent on the Federal Reserve’s “own forecast”. “On the flip side, US GDP is really strong and I got to say it’s probably the shining light globally at the moment at least for economic growth.”

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